TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c5,953$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.384,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes33c4,621$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6603158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes30c1,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.999058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes31c1,594$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.065125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes14c1,398$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c1,109$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No71c866.81$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.611668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No70c720$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x273f…56febacked Yes16c623.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No78c524.63$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.938229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes28c497.06$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.11,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6076…5e6dbacked Yes12c480.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c412.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13214427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes28c398.8$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c348.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0248153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x956a…c48ebacked Yes26c328$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes25c304.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.699134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No77c294.04$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.099557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Yes49c220$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes24c210.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed No72c208.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes31c206.45$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes28c196.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c190$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1337829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c183.92$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes16c162.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262552%13 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…4d9ebacked No69c161.54$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.08757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes14c155.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes28c145.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes27c133.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9614333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes27c104.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.489549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes30c96.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.094126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked No34c93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.232161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes32c89.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.635034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94cd…8903backed No69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes27c85.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed No69c72.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.636237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed No34c72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.522382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+52.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c18…c4a6backed Yes31c67.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes22c64.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes33c63.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Yes31c63.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26b7…68a2backed Yes28c61.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef4…4d46backed Yes31c61.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes22c61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5115444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No36c57.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.919544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3747…41bebacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0d…53a5backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1610270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb19…122ebacked No70c43.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b79…d63fbacked Yes27c40.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49134.1%31 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No69c39.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.136553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No68c36.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.632123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes31c32.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.138543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x949d…374cbacked No69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.927100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No70c31.71$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5114574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cea…5013backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No67c28.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.517455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.163,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked No74c24.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes63c24.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4815443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x389f…afbcbacked No70c22.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a31…0b12backed No70c20.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a39…bf2abacked No71c19.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb318…67bdbacked No70c18.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+171.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.