Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cbd2938caf4bde8510ab3944624d9b9a6c3fb3b9bcf4a44b45d05b98df678c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8519…f76fbacked Yes | 40c | 35,287$14,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,114.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 32,762$19,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,242.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 20,835$12,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,359.39 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…f0a2backed No | 60c | 18,045$10,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,217.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb48…5186backed No | 60c | 17,242$10,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes | 62c | 14,096$8,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,693 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 41c | 11,083$4,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495.66 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 7,433$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.6 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 56c | 7,200$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 44c | 7,131$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.05 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 6,689$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.89 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 5,805$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Yes | 40c | 5,555$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 3,688$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.56 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 56c | 3,000$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.96 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 2,618$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.12 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 39c | 2,562$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.14 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 55c | 2,419$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.89 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 34c | 2,235$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,825$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 47c | 1,820$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.07 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 58c | 1,528$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.55 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.98 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 67c | 1,396$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.85 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 40c | 1,328$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.37 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…cc08backed Yes | 40c | 1,171$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.55 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 40c | 958$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Yes | 58c | 862.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 57c | 820.53$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.7 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 54c | 732.79$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 13c | 701$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Yes | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked No | 51c | 642.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 638$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…4a50backed Yes | 26c | 594.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…d590backed Yes | 41c | 585.34$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 57c | 539.74$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 37c | 492$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 477.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…4e63backed Yes | 37c | 432.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 430.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 379.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed No | 59c | 375.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 18c | 369.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 57c | 364.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 358.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 60c | 358.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 57c | 350.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…7e40backed Yes | 39c | 343.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 40c | 339.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 36c | 330.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Yes | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…8601backed Yes | 40c | 301.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8417backed Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 299.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 60c | 299.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 33c | 299.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 52c | 294.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 5c | 294.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…f286backed Yes | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…eaadbacked Yes | 61c | 279.66$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Yes | 41c | 274.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 61c | 263.93$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…aed5backed Yes | 46c | 250$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…7034backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4443…f82fbacked Yes | 40c | 246.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…291cbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…8a98backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…f01dbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed No | 57c | 240.35$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 22c | 220$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…94b0backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked No | 67c | 198.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 36cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.