TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$597,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$620,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0039…6bebbacked Yes38c312,459$119,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,380.054100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No62c195,299$121,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,085.073946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c61,049$38,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,526.742,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes38c59,999$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,199.3635941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes36c42,633$15,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,333.329746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c38,969$24,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,366.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c33,389$20,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,860.436,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No61c31,152$19,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,002.8610057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes37c30,030$11,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,786.498146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c25,325$15,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,786.8785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c15,443$8,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,889.384,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20017745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No61c9,010$5,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,462.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed No66c5,555$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666.281650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No61c5,200$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,17212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes30c3,999$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.3418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No45c3,251$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.9942043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes39c2,731$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.93551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed No62c2,600$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6125538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c2,545$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.671,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No11c2,390$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.0628736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No66c2,130$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4004052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes37c1,744$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.816543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes47c1,700$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.7316753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes26c1,631$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.7726344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes35c1,410$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.2635428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8be0…bee3backed Yes28c1,251$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No61c1,229$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No70c1,150$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8051346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes48c1,047$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.033735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No62c1,023$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.032962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No62c1,006$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.414468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes32c812.82$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.825831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes31c806.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4518123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2911443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No65c617.54$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4741344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c519.18$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.321,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes15c517.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.426420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes25c440$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed No64c418.34$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.743839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No63c417.86$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6514975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes48c417.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.535347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Yes25c408.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.124740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No68c407.29$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7619154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3deb…c6b6backed No69c399.97$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.981050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes40c393.03$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.821478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No59c382.17$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3774156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d6d…8601backed Yes30c346.39$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes43c338.35$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8625348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed No61c327.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No70c314.7$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.2956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No64c309.9$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.621,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1866050%30 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1834037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked No66c298.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes31c290$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.113337.6%50 W · 83 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.783259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes33c273.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.276144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f61…7ea7backed Yes37c271.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c268.81$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked No66c265.73$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Yes39c258.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…9ef0backed Yes33c257.58$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4124630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1a…6258backed Yes31c250$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.595717.5%10 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No64c245$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.81,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No40c237.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes18c228.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.937829.5%23 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.271643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c223$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.531,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Yes44c206.34$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.552748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.652458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1385022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick12cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No62c199.15$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.471833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3112143%52 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…b68dbacked Yes39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0383…7034backed No66c183.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes29c177$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.173258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ce…5310backed Yes34c174.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.071457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.419534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked No62c162$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes32c158.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2729644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes37c157.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.883545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes37c150.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2621250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9311850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9660557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes46c149.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9920840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.