TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f08…f01d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$14.93
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.89
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Colombia (-2.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.3%+$145.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36.78
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$48.53
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.