TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,350,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,557,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,350,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c162,433$106,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,211.3127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes63c157,795$99,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,814.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No37c116,962$42,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,906.185349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes65c116,877$75,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,041.7248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No37c113,222$41,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,774.352748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c106,696$38,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,480.3868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No35c77,891$27,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,039.746033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c71,933$25,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,896.6198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes66c70,969$46,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,058.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No37c64,370$23,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,816.894757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d2c…107ebacked Yes64c59,742$38,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,507.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c58,537$23,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,362.2596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c48,177$18,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,348.22,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No34c42,089$14,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,460.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No38c40,716$15,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,472.213046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c36,356$13,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,365.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked No38c31,996$12,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,038.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Yes67c29,866$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,865.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c29,553$10,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,639.173951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes55c28,931$15,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,971.943036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No37c27,734$10,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,273.622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes62c26,800$16,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,088.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No38c26,775$10,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,174.52650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c92…4b9ebacked Yes61c25,318$15,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,874.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No37c23,936$8,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,758.676346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes62c22,633$14,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,601.621872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Yes63c22,020$13,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,247.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No36c21,915$7,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,997.3640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No38c20,732$7,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,878.165736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,200425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…e9d1backed No37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No37c16,450$6,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,086.439631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x524b…49acbacked Yes44c16,308$7,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,201.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes26c15,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5506360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.992250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No37c12,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4409952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No37c11,824$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.266323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No35c11,513$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.3645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No38c11,500$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c11,157$5,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,240.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0f9…5f83backed No39c10,025$3,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Yes62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc2…f610backed No39c9,991$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes64c9,806$6,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes63c9,568$6,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.998042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No34c9,209$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No37c8,027$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.964445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes63c7,933$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73b…9766backed Yes66c7,800$5,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No37c7,500$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7751827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No37c7,499$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.793636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes63c7,338$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,716.0116046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes65c6,897$4,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.93743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No35c6,120$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed No36c5,555$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd596…befbbacked No39c5,308$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No34c5,294$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ce…e128backed No34c5,269$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1725…4b59backed Yes61c5,227$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…0ba8backed No39c5,210$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No38c5,050$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.761729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8007345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes64c4,897$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.523060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes69c4,888$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.0532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No34c4,782$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.841643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Yes64c4,688$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes64c4,684$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.361546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No38c4,615$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.855550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes64c4,084$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.136645.5%30 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.263243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4804860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes65c4,000$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4112055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes55c4,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.967560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes33c3,718$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.512142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes60c3,716$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.914136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No34c3,600$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No39c3,593$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.081637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No14c3,491$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.344959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x560a…a398backed Yes61c3,302$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866e…7deabacked No39c3,296$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes63c3,242$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.7613946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f67…642fbacked Yes64c3,079$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes61c3,076$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked No37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No36c3,000$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.487055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked No37c2,937$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.63650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No35c2,829$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No36c2,827$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.551428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb93e…e383backed Yes66c2,825$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes64c2,800$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0087064.3%45 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes58c2,733$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.345341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No39c2,608$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.11933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.