TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No76c27,588$20,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7216346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Yes24c20,923$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes25c18,631$4,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,632450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c17,415$13,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,334.0968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c16,316$12,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.9896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes24c10,957$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.6840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c8,837$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.61,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes24c7,263$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.131827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeece…b407backed Yes25c6,033$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No76c6,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes25c5,200$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2006360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c4,512$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.8593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b13…e9f7backed Yes18c3,449$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes25c3,251$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.4412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes8c3,200$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes59c3,143$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.51911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed No76c2,824$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c2,552$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6316819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0f…4082backed No75c2,212$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…993fbacked No75c2,169$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No78c2,156$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.3624953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes24c2,150$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5164136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x061e…8e88backed No75c1,652$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.013100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c1,494$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes31c1,491$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.215967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No76c1,419$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.345959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No52c1,404$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.216924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No66c1,233$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.429576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes11c1,169$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.129440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes23c1,035$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.532218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2307055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes25c915$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.754231%13 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1620…b8e7backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes26c869.23$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22613752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes59c843.43$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd891…b2b9backed Yes71c799.99$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c743$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.465424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c680.88$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.692,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes9c660.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8190%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5daf…3290backed Yes70c659.16$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ff…24e3backed Yes22c622.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No78c617.58$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.872231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed Yes8c600$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c555.73$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a8…f031backed No76c555$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3f…c002backed Yes24c549$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes8c525$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes10c500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c468.27$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7814347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c465.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0528931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes5c440$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c425.09$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb5…f40fbacked Yes26c416.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1071136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1257…f4d2backed Yes7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes10c392.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c359.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9943058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No75c320.38$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Yes6c310$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes7c301$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510757%61 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes26c282.56$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.482231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes72c278.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Yes6c278$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.582623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-60.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes15c250$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2c…107ebacked Yes70c249.54$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes23c246.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.383354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No53c243.04$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.291060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes23c235.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c234.28$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7349…337ebacked Yes22c234.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes16c231.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes22c227$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.945236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes26c207.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3d9d…c2ddbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c189.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4921445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes11c184.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c183.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8131738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes16c177.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.431643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes8c172.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.037742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0a…d64bbacked Yes22c169$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3847…df89backed Yes60c166.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c163$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes25c161.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.445028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3397…3f53backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes17c140.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8712929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb444…8d6fbacked Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.