TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$439,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c94,732$62,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,002.081,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes66c69,199$45,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,772.8628242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No33c49,798$16,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,433.468940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed No35c40,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,000.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes65c29,600$19,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,391.3214544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No35c24,200$8,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,411.972657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No34c22,927$7,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,905.9285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c17,502$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,973.616,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes65c17,500$11,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1257147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No34c17,027$5,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,789.0916848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No35c14,995$5,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,248.245655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c13,959$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.32,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No34c11,715$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.221428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes65c10,463$6,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.1518948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No36c8,772$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.754052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf988…f5f6backed Yes63c8,682$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.77580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No35c7,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.9918433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No36c6,944$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No38c6,766$2,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.082548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes66c6,615$4,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.383839.5%15 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-39.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c6,047$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.441,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c5,927$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.614,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c5,308$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.072,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No34c5,158$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.649856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes65c4,629$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.4730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes66c4,600$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.9916753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No34c4,500$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53012847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes62c3,600$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3544344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No12c2,933$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.251,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No37c2,924$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.5819154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No37c2,744$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.1433057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked No38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No34c2,576$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8762157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed No35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…5191backed Yes66c2,436$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9620448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No35c1,974$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915050%25 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes66c1,970$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.74930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes65c1,923$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.0826344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes65c1,886$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.113939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Yes66c1,839$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.316553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff6…09bdbacked Yes63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5922055%11 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6151978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4952962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55513662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5708348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7e…a8a7backed No4c1,300$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed No4c1,246$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.183828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569c…140dbacked Yes65c1,206$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Yes64c1,200$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes63c1,191$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.8317634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5daf…3290backed Yes62c1,168$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes71c1,157$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.3277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207f…793bbacked Yes67c1,076$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.121752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes66c1,065$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.111968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Yes67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No26c994.41$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3536462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes61c968.78$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.3182763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed No36c854.4$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.123148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes62c823.03$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.989756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes65c773.61$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.612948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes67c771.08$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.291650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.585752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69aa…e28bbacked Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes65c711.91$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.413754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes58c693$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0623350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Yes65c642.11$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.742060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No36c613.08$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.711833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3b3…9cafbacked Yes59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.221070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes66c587.88$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.885135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No35c569.33$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.192450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes64c550$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x172c…94b0backed Yes63c524.09$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.09955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes67c505.22$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.721478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1854854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No36c497.82$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.341,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes67c492.54$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5435347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.555831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No36c434.76$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.514468.2%30 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No25c409.06$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10314636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes73c405.16$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.268055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No38c400$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.113651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f08…f01dbacked Yes63c395.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes66c393.94$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.941560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes64c390$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.411047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.622955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes61c370$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes59c333$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5329044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes65c320$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11230059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.