Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec49f2e5b4d3e01fc0f5a5d92595d69afb7a4298e40d4757ade152ffd9e3611
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 0c | 30,065$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 79c | 2,894$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.88 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,710$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.48 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 1,616$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 771.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 709.39$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 21c | 364$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 79c | 350$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 345.85$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 18c | 228.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 19c | 221.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 16c | 133.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 11c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…01aebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 19c | 99.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…8e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 71.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…9230backed Yes | 20c | 71.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…e8b3backed Yes | 21c | 68.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6fd7backed Yes | 21c | 63.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…eec6backed Yes | 21c | 63.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…7c7fbacked Yes | 20c | 60.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e7…5284backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…243abacked Yes | 21c | 59.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905c…811fbacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb769…2f74backed Yes | 21c | 54.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Yes | 21c | 54.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…2ed5backed Yes | 21c | 53.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…cf8bbacked Yes | 21c | 49.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…3c8bbacked No | 80c | 17.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cd…814abacked No | 80c | 17.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked No | 80c | 17.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…033cbacked No | 80c | 16.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…7133backed No | 80c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…3d3ebacked No | 80c | 15.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…c3d4backed No | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…4457backed No | 80c | 14.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…d93ebacked No | 80c | 13.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.