TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x569c…140d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Golf at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.29
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$337.5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$704.35
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.88
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$314.67
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.86
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$63.1
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$109.49
UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Ikram Aliskerov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$92.47
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+172.1%+$688.59
All 8 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+409.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+106%+$347.43
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$334.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.