TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,598,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,000,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,598,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 829 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x011f…1122backed Yes1c96,854$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.78130%0 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ec…2b1abacked Yes2c31,622$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6660%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes2c29,585$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.92521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes3c26,530$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.3382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…a760backed Yes1c25,918$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f6…5243backed Yes1c25,665$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cea…43f0backed Yes1c24,525$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac3f…2d78backed Yes2c23,906$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…db80backed Yes2c22,389$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c21,737$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.25440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes1c19,999$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d17…1e5fbacked Yes1c18,625$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac3…c651backed Yes1c18,238$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa440…30d5backed Yes3c18,042$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc4…d222backed Yes1c17,833$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b2a…4b9fbacked Yes1c17,415$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4210…e354backed Yes4c17,400$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d8f…45a0backed Yes1c17,342$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2519…50bcbacked Yes3c17,278$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc98…b7c1backed Yes1c17,208$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f4…695dbacked Yes1c17,164$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c4…bebbbacked Yes1c17,088$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b0…2483backed Yes2c17,006$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0c…c605backed Yes1c16,645$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Yes2c16,412$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…df56backed Yes1c16,389$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0877…8730backed Yes1c15,967$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…f963backed Yes1c15,954$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294e…c38cbacked Yes1c15,525$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83c…e47bbacked Yes3c15,322$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.2360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05ec…201abacked Yes3c15,099$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes1c14,962$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.71224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c72…7af1backed Yes2c14,037$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9760%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c13,280$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.04283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b4…9899backed Yes1c13,140$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ea…534dbacked Yes1c13,028$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes3c12,598$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0788…bc82backed Yes1c12,470$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…cfacbacked Yes2c12,389$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes2c12,357$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2122546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c12,307$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.852953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes1c12,293$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.531421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd812…7ac4backed Yes1c11,777$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c98…f380backed Yes9c11,620$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1185…bcdfbacked Yes9c11,353$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2e…0770backed Yes1c11,274$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…831ebacked Yes1c11,198$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8181…9b41backed Yes2c11,132$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b40…5682backed Yes3c10,602$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4586…23cfbacked Yes2c10,550$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes6c10,465$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.5611712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0907…ea08backed Yes2c10,309$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb711…db23backed Yes1c10,275$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x259c…b5cfbacked Yes2c10,255$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bce…df79backed Yes3c10,032$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.150%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…da7fbacked Yes1c10,031$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.561216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes3c10,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd5…589fbacked Yes1c9,931$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c7…acd0backed Yes1c9,858$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c9,852$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.35220%0 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x809a…4494backed Yes1c9,625$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25c…5decbacked Yes1c9,612$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c9,601$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.72273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…e7c5backed Yes2c9,471$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa407…36cdbacked Yes1c9,406$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf55…6b06backed Yes3c9,392$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dd…8484backed Yes3c9,392$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c9,298$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.53392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…9ab6backed Yes1c9,221$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d0…140ebacked Yes1c9,221$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c66…25fabacked Yes1c9,182$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…bacabacked Yes1c9,169$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989c…6c31backed Yes1c9,169$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d82…ade4backed Yes2c9,146$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4763…52d5backed Yes2c9,095$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7059…fa7bbacked Yes2c9,095$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…690cbacked Yes1c9,088$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1029…190bbacked Yes3c9,021$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb97f…7979backed Yes3c9,021$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…24e6backed Yes2c8,994$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1160%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ed…7a08backed Yes1c8,980$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x394d…72e4backed Yes1c8,980$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0169…14a8backed Yes1c8,973$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8169…f7d8backed Yes3c8,937$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2130…bf69backed Yes3c8,926$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc377…322bbacked Yes1c8,908$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb314…31bbbacked Yes1c8,903$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e3…8fd3backed Yes2c8,814$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e14…a190backed Yes1c8,771$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3415…df8abacked Yes1c8,771$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425c…9d99backed Yes1c8,769$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3f…af80backed Yes2c8,702$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…41babacked Yes4c8,700$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…93eebacked Yes4c8,700$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d1…61ecbacked Yes2c8,696$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3398…0d24backed Yes2c8,674$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4670%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5a…2e45backed Yes2c8,667$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599c…98b1backed Yes1c8,662$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf923…29febacked Yes1c8,605$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.