Golf · resolved market
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea3f0eb3ec9419be6ae206414ff35a6c69ba88f7e50ff95f7325325784fb9981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $535,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Yes | 1c | 59,278$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 1c | 37,913$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.75 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 1c | 35,689$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.89 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 1c | 29,999$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 68 | 7.4%5 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 1c | 25,993$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.93 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes | 1c | 16,383$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 10,726$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…da93backed Yes | 1c | 10,463$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d71…b885backed Yes | 1c | 10,166$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…c345backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…4624backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 9,798$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,510$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 233 | 19.3%45 W · 188 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 1c | 7,813$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Yes | 1c | 7,201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ec…0b65backed Yes | 1c | 6,660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 6,457$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 1c | 5,920$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441b…f657backed Yes | 1c | 4,388$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Yes | 1c | 4,144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 3,768$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,608$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,592$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,580$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 56 | 0%0 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…8694backed Yes | 1c | 3,401$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed Yes | 1c | 3,279$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 82 | 9.8%8 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 1c | 3,067$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 2,720$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 67 | 1.5%1 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -94%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…3990backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes | 1c | 2,482$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,227$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,092$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,983$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc38f…4e54backed Yes | 1c | 1,916$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,820$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…42c6backed Yes | 1c | 1,802$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,743$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Yes | 1c | 1,687$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…567bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,675$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…b691backed Yes | 1c | 1,620$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,555$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,546$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…c4d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,542$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…97b7backed Yes | 1c | 1,539$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…179fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,477$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…bf7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…5c43backed Yes | 1c | 1,091$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 2c | 1,076$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,039$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…2624backed Yes | 1c | 1,030$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…33ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…09dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,008$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1870…5012backed Yes | 1c | 950$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…510abacked Yes | 1c | 899.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 1c | 834.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…3196backed Yes | 1c | 793.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0e…9bc5backed Yes | 2c | 679.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed Yes | 2c | 636$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…109fbacked Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?this page
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brian Campbell win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Naoyuki Kataoka win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nicolas Echavarria win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.