TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,516,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,069,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa21…1438backed Yes5c60,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.53156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes5c37,719$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.192516%4 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes5c24,800$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.962913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes5c24,308$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.68440%0 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes5c23,000$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-83.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed Yes0c22,562$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.12437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes5c22,162$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.05687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff30…80adbacked Yes0c21,604$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa805…27e0backed Yes2c19,026$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c18,500$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe42…a10fbacked Yes5c15,900$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9d…bf8dbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-72.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…2f81backed Yes7c14,069$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.3382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes5c13,814$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-78.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes4c13,241$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Yes6c12,618$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes5c11,937$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.79224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes3c11,820$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.52521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-70.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes4c11,174$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.21442.3%1 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-82.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes6c11,085$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.764540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes5c10,393$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.554810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c10,018$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes5c10,000$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505250%0 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…355bbacked Yes2c9,638$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes4c9,348$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.55273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes1c9,188$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1611412.3%14 W · 100 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-55.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3014…dcddbacked Yes5c8,619$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.85812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea06…b786backed Yes5c8,156$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514c…9293backed Yes6c8,110$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-58%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes2c7,322$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.75244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-78.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes4c7,138$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.58671.5%1 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-94%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3c…9699backed Yes6c6,713$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752512%3 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes5c6,444$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.721915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-56.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3f…a97fbacked Yes0c6,420$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5690%0 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…477fbacked Yes5c6,361$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeccd…d100backed Yes1c6,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9990%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes5c5,819$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.75392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes4c5,738$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.65352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes4c5,608$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.91287.1%2 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd5…567bbacked Yes1c5,562$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50160%0 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…2415backed Yes6c5,536$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310290%0 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes6c5,344$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Yes6c5,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x082b…b7efbacked Yes2c4,884$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ea…4249backed Yes2c4,804$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ac…8fc5backed Yes5c4,569$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a63…f706backed Yes5c4,376$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99f…8742backed Yes12c4,267$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f74…2dfbbacked Yes6c4,244$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes6c4,144$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes5c3,962$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.27323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c3,822$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.292953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dd…9ffebacked Yes6c3,675$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes5c3,644$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.35277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9c…2798backed Yes6c3,643$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Yes6c3,600$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Yes3c3,597$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes4c3,558$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.27829.8%8 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-68.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05bf…1ab0backed Yes5c3,501$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes5c3,500$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181533.8%2 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick3cpaid-75.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…2c21backed Yes9c3,491$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.78137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb58…74c2backed Yes6c3,408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes5c3,406$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.691729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes5c3,359$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.661168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes1c3,350$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.46214.5%9 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cc…9989backed Yes8c3,312$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes6c3,150$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.87933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes7c3,070$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d79…268fbacked Yes5c3,029$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes5c3,024$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.97160%0 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51bf…01cbbacked Yes6c3,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Yes4c2,988$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-85.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes3c2,920$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.65310%0 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef0…aa6cbacked Yes0c2,916$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef4…2726backed Yes6c2,758$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Yes6c2,684$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x616a…6104backed Yes6c2,679$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc562…7c61backed Yes6c2,535$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.54425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes1c2,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bc…bc73backed Yes5c2,456$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes6c2,394$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.251421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a17…1d51backed Yes6c2,352$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fe…38c8backed Yes2c2,286$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0e46backed Yes5c2,252$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes6c2,223$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.14156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick6cpaid-83.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a50…a045backed Yes3c2,214$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.321216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9721…3ef8backed Yes3c2,211$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe830…39ecbacked Yes1c2,091$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Yes5c2,084$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+418.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc884…aeecbacked Yes6c2,017$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d1…3990backed Yes5c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.75137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-86%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…7657backed Yes5c2,000$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.91825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-60.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Yes2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes6c2,000$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-90.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+48.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf64a…5b3cbacked Yes6c2,000$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11670%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa161…86fdbacked Yes5c1,991$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda06…75d9backed Yes5c1,963$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes5c1,933$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100180%0 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8051…cbcebacked Yes6c1,931$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.