TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf64a…5b3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Golf at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3040%12 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$57.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$65.29
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. France: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sweden to score first vs. Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump disparage Vladimir Putin on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Skellefteaabacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$174
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.