Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2a37922caf3f90500c1917838991c12b0a58486802043ce65045c20139b14a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 21,283$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 64c | 8,673$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.88 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 32c | 8,057$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.62 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 62c | 3,205$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Yes | 36c | 1,122$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 15c | 1,053$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1185…0486backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…673fbacked Yes | 21c | 915.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…d5aabacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 36c | 713.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.24 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…f15ebacked Yes | 36c | 538.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 36c | 503.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…f89cbacked Yes | 37c | 494.52$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 70c | 400.56$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 35c | 292.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca63…4f88backed Yes | 36c | 290$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f13abacked No | 68c | 286.05$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…2152backed Yes | 34c | 274.89$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 37c | 273.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4c…f8aebacked Yes | 38c | 243.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…71d2backed Yes | 14c | 238$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 56c | 234.52$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159c…6e5bbacked Yes | 38c | 221.58$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 66c | 219.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 34c | 207.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed No | 67c | 187.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…40d8backed Yes | 15c | 161.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Yes | 25c | 159.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…7e79backed Yes | 60c | 152.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Yes | 19c | 150.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…6b4bbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed Yes | 25c | 131.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…8328backed Yes | 16c | 122.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…2afbbacked Yes | 28c | 108.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…8a69backed Yes | 26c | 102.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked Yes | 16c | 102.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…339ebacked Yes | 40c | 90.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ce…f439backed Yes | 36c | 85.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 48c | 83.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…0bf2backed Yes | 37c | 81.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf687…2df4backed Yes | 48c | 74.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 31c | 71.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 68c | 60.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 50c | 60.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…71fabacked Yes | 50c | 56.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…2a63backed Yes | 36c | 55.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…6958backed No | 65c | 48.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 45.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b6b9backed Yes | 38c | 44.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…8074backed Yes | 36c | 39.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…004abacked Yes | 40c | 37.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…b4f1backed Yes | 47c | 31.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…031dbacked Yes | 36c | 29.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked No | 51c | 26.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…ff03backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…a081backed No | 66c | 25.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48f…2cbabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…35d0backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…5b3cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…b3dcbacked Yes | 65c | 18.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?this page
- Will Cameron Young win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will JJ Spaun win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx Cup?Yes won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2025 FedEx Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.