TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x697a…d5aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+525%+$168
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+270.4%+$109.5
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$96
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$31.92
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.49
Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+195.9%+$66.2
Missouri Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+208.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$138
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Will Bayern Munich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.8%+$104.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$9.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115K August 25–31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.