Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Louis Billikens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb438c6005ffc363ed48e34cf568eec7fdaddf9060863704096930a7504a48425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Duquesne Dukes, Saint Louis Billikens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Duquesne Dukes | 5c | 12,807$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Duquesne Dukes | 9c | 1,180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…1e15backed Duquesne Dukes | 15c | 1,078$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Duquesne Dukes | 9c | 818.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Duquesne Dukes | 23c | 621.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Saint Louis Billikens | 78c | 569.05$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Duquesne Dukes | 17c | 559.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Duquesne Dukes | 9c | 537.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duquesne Dukes | 13c | 319.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Duquesne Dukes | 10c | 299.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duquesne Dukes | 20c | 286.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Duquesne Dukes | 11c | 256.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Duquesne Dukes | 14c | 214.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Duquesne Dukes | 9c | 180.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Duquesne Dukes | 20c | 149.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…e2cdbacked Duquesne Dukes | 31c | 112.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…d5aabacked Duquesne Dukes | 14c | 99.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…ce1abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 80c | 93.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Duquesne Dukes | 20c | 88.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Duquesne Dukes | 30c | 82.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 70c | 36.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 75c | 35.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Louis Billikensthis page
- Duquesne Dukes vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.