Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Saint Louis win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff689a0aeee211b14455b5e29400169ef0261de62087d92498ce5a4133f0ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,579 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bec…0b4cbacked Yes | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9a…8435backed Yes | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…ded6backed Yes | 39c | 255$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…6cf1backed Yes | 39c | 242$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…759ebacked Yes | 39c | 239$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…3ce1backed Yes | 39c | 238$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…aaa2backed Yes | 39c | 235$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…390bbacked Yes | 39c | 234$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…fdebbacked Yes | 39c | 233$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92c…9306backed Yes | 39c | 224$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…e32ebacked No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…46e3backed No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…640cbacked No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0740…0b2abacked No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…c61bbacked No | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…c9f2backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…7c32backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…0a88backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…f8d4backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…e0fbbacked No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…29a8backed No | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…e09cbacked No | 61c | 156$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…8cb8backed No | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…a3bfbacked No | 61c | 154$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…9354backed No | 61c | 151$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…d5aabacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?this page
- Will Duquesne win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?No won
- Will VCU win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.