Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will VCU win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd97c6cdf70dc81dbe0552753e84a51eb13e458dc4e059c5347f91d11acf0a2d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,528 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 36c | 464$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569f…a1ebbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9215…2327backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…fa2fbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c0…2ff0backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba13…1d5bbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…53d9backed Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…3cabbacked Yes | 34c | 294$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…6ea7backed No | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe4…223fbacked No | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…16bcbacked No | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…40cabacked No | 66c | 152$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…bf35backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637c…7e71backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec4f…fe67backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…9d6fbacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…8cd9backed No | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…fcabbacked No | 66c | 151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…a14ebacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…81f8backed No | 66c | 141$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…b1a6backed No | 66c | 136$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…ac39backed No | 66c | 117$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VCU win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?this page
- Will Duquesne win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 A-10 conference championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.