NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46cd3fec7f0d679b777af96953af00d933befcedd1103cc6dff9209a43166a97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Suns, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,529,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,657,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,529,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x734f…155dbacked Suns | 0c | 114,190$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 12c | 109,403$13,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,498.97 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns | 10c | 58,918$6,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,172.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Suns | 11c | 54,193$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.24 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 11c | 45,525$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.75 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 11c | 43,514$4,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Suns | 12c | 25,412$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Suns | 8c | 24,730$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.97 | 140 | 25%35 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Suns | 0c | 22,417$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Suns | 10c | 20,973$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.15 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 11c | 15,607$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.79 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Suns | 10c | 13,529$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.01 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Suns | 5c | 11,658$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.85 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 8c | 11,528$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Suns | 11c | 11,173$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.55 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 10c | 10,857$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 12c | 10,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Suns | 11c | 9,939$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Suns | 9c | 9,370$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.17 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 14c | 9,195$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Suns | 12c | 8,190$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.8 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…d067backed Suns | 12c | 7,981$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Suns | 11c | 7,777$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.47 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Suns | 15c | 7,269$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Suns | 11c | 6,304$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.23 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Suns | 11c | 6,200$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Suns | 12c | 5,805$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.01 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Suns | 6c | 5,555$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Suns | 12c | 5,344$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…278fbacked Suns | 13c | 5,243$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Suns | 11c | 4,873$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.63 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 8c | 4,819$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Suns | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…6f85backed Suns | 11c | 3,574$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Suns | 11c | 3,464$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Suns | 11c | 3,350$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.49 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…ffb1backed Suns | 12c | 3,331$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Suns | 11c | 3,300$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Suns | 11c | 3,249$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Suns | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Suns | 12c | 2,923$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.7 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Suns | 10c | 2,862$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.96 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Suns | 13c | 2,685$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.62 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…21fcbacked Suns | 12c | 2,446$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Suns | 11c | 2,400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…a413backed Suns | 11c | 2,356$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…0bbcbacked Suns | 11c | 2,200$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Suns | 16c | 2,186$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.78 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Suns | 8c | 2,171$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…d161backed Suns | 12c | 2,109$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Suns | 12c | 2,100$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Suns | 13c | 2,085$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Suns | 5c | 2,076$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Suns | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…12c9backed Suns | 10c | 1,969$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 12c | 1,940$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.85 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Suns | 11c | 1,919$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Suns | 6c | 1,882$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 11c | 1,874$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.14 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…55b1backed Suns | 12c | 1,871$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…d9ebbacked Suns | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Suns | 12c | 1,704$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Suns | 12c | 1,700$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Suns | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Suns | 11c | 1,663$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.9 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Suns | 12c | 1,624$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…bd8dbacked Suns | 11c | 1,618$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,544$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.25 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Suns | 12c | 1,541$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Suns | 2c | 1,539$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Suns | 10c | 1,512$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Suns | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Suns | 11c | 1,500$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed Suns | 11c | 1,460$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…d23dbacked Suns | 14c | 1,429$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…de25backed Suns | 11c | 1,391$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Suns | 12c | 1,387$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Suns | 10c | 1,366$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…4149backed Suns | 11c | 1,300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…1273backed Suns | 5c | 1,216$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Suns | 12c | 1,197$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder | 76c | 1,185$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.15 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…f446backed Suns | 12c | 1,160$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…5f7ebacked Suns | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 11c | 1,051$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Suns | 11c | 1,039$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Suns | 11c | 1,030$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Suns | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Suns | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Suns | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Suns | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…3a41backed Suns | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +1,170.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Suns | 11c | 999.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Suns | 11c | 999.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…ca44backed Suns | 13c | 975.83$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Suns | 12c | 933.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…a5a9backed Suns | 12c | 916.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Suns | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…af58backed Suns | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunderthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.