NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9c8a09bb5ec22dd72862f8afa2221609222c7044d94aca1a1e2a1c094c83a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 52c | 2,603$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 69c | 2,200$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.18 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Under | 53c | 2,101$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 1,905$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,253$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 53c | 1,117$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.17 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.01 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 44c | 972.37$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.29 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 595$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 560.08$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.64 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Over | 46c | 529.51$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.64 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 467.3$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 425$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Under | 46c | 420.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.55 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 50c | 389.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 43c | 337$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.09 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 323$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 43c | 316.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 46c | 291.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 257$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Under | 33c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 50c | 145$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 144.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…7d56backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 68c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 58c | 86.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 48c | 64.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 54c | 45.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 42.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 38c | 40.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ef…a7a4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…293ebacked Over | 61c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5this page
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.