NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad87f856f789fa59f980ac7868d71ad5a3a0ba1a824143bea2a81a4e2b60d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad2…004ebacked Suns | 52c | 30,000$15,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,358 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 50c | 13,500$6,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,737.41 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Suns | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 48c | 9,871$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.18 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 49c | 8,107$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.27 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Thunder | 52c | 7,596$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 50c | 7,039$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.5 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Suns | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 49c | 3,922$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.57 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Suns | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder | 50c | 3,605$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.45 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.48 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Suns | 48c | 3,246$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.73 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Suns | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Thunder | 52c | 1,876$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.07 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 48c | 1,753$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.07 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Suns | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Suns | 50c | 1,464$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…9e65backed Suns | 49c | 1,184$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Suns | 48c | 1,145$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.15 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed Suns | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Suns | 50c | 1,044$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.33 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 47c | 877$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.19 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Thunder | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Thunder | 50c | 676$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Suns | 49c | 597$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.15 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 48c | 467.26$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Thunder | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Suns | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 386$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 46c | 331.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Suns | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Thunder | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Suns | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Thunder | 52c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed Suns | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Suns | 54c | 195.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…ffafbacked Thunder | 50c | 176.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Thunder | 47c | 168$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 47c | 153.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Suns | 51c | 107.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Suns | 49c | 103.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…582ebacked Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Thunder | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Thunder | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6b…e7fabacked Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 50c | 93.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Suns | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Suns | 57c | 84.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Thunder | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Suns | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Suns | 49c | 60.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Thunder | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Suns | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Suns | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Thunder | 52c | 49.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Thunder | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Suns | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 51c | 43.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Suns | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Suns | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Thunder | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Suns | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Thunder | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Suns | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked Thunder | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Suns | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…806fbacked Thunder | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Suns | 54c | 27.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…1ef0backed Thunder | 56c | 26.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Suns | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.