TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,867 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad2…004ebacked Under54c35,974$19,571 inLost-$19,571.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c12,915$5,903 inWon+$7,011.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over48c7,199$3,450 inWon+$3,749.2912341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over47c5,776$2,717 inWon+$3,059.222,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over47c5,640$2,651 inWon+$2,989.21,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost-$1,5901,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Over47c2,489$1,170 inWon+$1,319.362951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c1,750$818 inWon+$932.773,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c1,730$787 inWon+$942.952,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under53c1,132$600 inLost-$599.962,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over47c1,064$500 inWon+$563.8336943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c851$383 inWon+$468.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under52c670.79$349 inLost-$348.8166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c544.64$245 inWon+$3001,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over47c526$247 inWon+$278.781,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under52c500$260 inLost-$2602,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over45c300$135 inWon+$1651,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c200$92 inWon+$1082,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c159$72 inWon+$87.456,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x655d…b758backed Under53c103.63$55 inLost-$5524446.7%114 W · 130 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c100$45 inWon+$551,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Over49c99.2$49 inWon+$50.5913550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over45c50$23 inWon+$27.538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Under56c44.64$25 inLost-$255662.5%35 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63ba…12d4backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon+$22.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.