NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3613b32c98a9b8149e4dbdf0f2bd57d081e234c2750c1771a6ed89bd496f4d44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,350,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,451,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,350,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 46c | 203,597$94,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,514.81 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…9fbcbacked Warriors | 60c | 130,245$77,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,959.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Rockets | 41c | 95,700$39,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,468.18 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rockets | 41c | 53,427$21,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,556.01 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors | 58c | 43,131$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 58c | 39,968$23,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,109.56 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 55c | 37,004$20,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,184.89 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 45c | 36,206$16,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,041.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 14c | 35,439$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.43 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 33c | 34,280$11,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,995.3 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 40c | 31,584$12,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,920.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 41c | 30,566$12,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,033.85 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 56c | 29,986$16,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,891.91 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 68c | 28,059$19,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,008.15 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Rockets | 46c | 26,819$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,519.32 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rockets | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,499.96 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Rockets | 33c | 23,884$7,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,002.59 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 43c | 22,911$9,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,173.51 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rockets | 32c | 22,513$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,225.53 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Warriors | 62c | 21,408$13,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,374.73 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 43c | 21,022$9,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,988.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Rockets | 46c | 20,936$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,282.5 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Rockets | 42c | 20,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 55c | 19,938$10,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,866.58 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 50c | 19,741$9,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,822.33 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 41c | 18,750$7,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,975.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 56c | 18,711$10,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,431.55 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 44c | 16,068$7,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,932.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Rockets | 32c | 14,400$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,762 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19c4…4689backed Rockets | 30c | 14,223$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,989.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188f…c19dbacked Rockets | 44c | 13,636$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,636.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…1a14backed Warriors | 80c | 12,523$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Rockets | 35c | 12,500$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,149.94 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Warriors | 56c | 12,041$6,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,742.86 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 53c | 11,742$6,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.6 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Rockets | 42c | 10,865$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301.58 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 47c | 10,300$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 56c | 10,000$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.6 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Rockets | 44c | 9,959$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.44 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Rockets | 41c | 9,807$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,786.3 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 45c | 9,449$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.66 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb52…3eeabacked Warriors | 57c | 9,300$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rockets | 33c | 9,000$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.43 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…1825backed Rockets | 44c | 8,999$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…3762backed Rockets | 44c | 8,942$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…8af1backed Warriors | 57c | 8,800$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6c89backed Rockets | 44c | 8,640$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…8471backed Warriors | 57c | 8,479$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 58c | 8,375$4,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.31 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Rockets | 37c | 8,211$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,161.13 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 40c | 8,092$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,895.83 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Warriors | 53c | 8,004$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241.83 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,639.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 52c | 7,982$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,135.48 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 54c | 7,222$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.43 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…285dbacked Warriors | 56c | 7,168$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Rockets | 56c | 7,087$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,087.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Warriors | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.92 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Rockets | 68c | 6,960$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.09 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Rockets | 39c | 6,933$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.64 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rockets | 35c | 6,600$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rockets | 37c | 6,498$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.94 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Rockets | 70c | 6,455$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.46 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rockets | 44c | 6,408$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,605.37 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Rockets | 33c | 6,088$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.24 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 54c | 6,081$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,262.92 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 47c | 6,023$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 67c | 5,951$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…dedfbacked Warriors | 54c | 5,933$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…c918backed Rockets | 46c | 5,925$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Warriors | 58c | 5,900$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 62c | 5,781$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.38 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Rockets | 40c | 5,600$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Warriors | 60c | 5,555$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…3deebacked Warriors | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0841…9c8dbacked Warriors | 75c | 5,173$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Warriors | 60c | 5,116$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.88 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Warriors | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rockets | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.96 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Rockets | 25c | 5,000$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.84 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Rockets | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Warriors | 56c | 4,578$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.68 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Warriors | 42c | 4,563$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Rockets | 46c | 4,347$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.38 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Warriors | 52c | 4,254$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.47 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Rockets | 15c | 4,222$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.31 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Rockets | 78c | 4,167$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.55 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Warriors | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Rockets | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Rockets | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Rockets | 35c | 3,654$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.88 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Warriors | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…d161backed Warriors | 58c | 3,442$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Rockets | 44c | 3,400$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Rockets | 28c | 3,376$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.3 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rockets | 43c | 3,258$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.31 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Rockets | 37c | 3,229$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Warriors | 48c | 3,141$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.88 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Warriorsthis page
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.