NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a990c1b1499f69dd91c325785d9cfacca6f899e349a9e6fab521a2173da6322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Warriors, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $654,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $658,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Warriors | 54c | 554,573$300,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rockets | 46c | 225,862$103,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,065.47 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 46c | 94,589$43,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,524.12 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 46c | 60,440$27,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,647.14 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Rockets | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets | 46c | 23,700$10,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,798 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 46c | 23,434$10,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,626.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 46c | 21,500$9,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,545 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockets | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 47c | 11,091$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.34 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rockets | 46c | 9,531$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.63 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 52c | 8,680$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.05 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 46c | 6,014$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.32 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 47c | 5,743$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Warriors | 52c | 3,374$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.61 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 47c | 3,180$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.4 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Rockets | 47c | 3,179$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.13 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,978$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.34 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,743$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.93 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 46c | 2,312$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.02 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0d41backed Warriors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed Warriors | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 52c | 1,931$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Rockets | 47c | 1,705$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Rockets | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Rockets | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Rockets | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Rockets | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 46c | 597$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockets | 49c | 548.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 45c | 544.82$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rockets | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Rockets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rockets | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Rockets | 51c | 413.73$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.73 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Rockets | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Warriors | 55c | 257.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 72c | 255$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Rockets | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd005…56a2backed Warriors | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Rockets | 53c | 215.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Rockets | 37c | 210$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Rockets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Warriors | 51c | 197.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Warriors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 46c | 189.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Warriors | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Warriors | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockets | 49c | 170.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…2c4ebacked Warriors | 57c | 129.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets | 29c | 110.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 50c | 110.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked Rockets | 50c | 104.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Rockets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5301…0f15backed Warriors | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Warriors | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Rockets | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Rockets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Rockets | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…79f6backed Rockets | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Warriors | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Warriors | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Rockets | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Rockets | 50c | 60.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Rockets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Rockets | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Warriors | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Rockets | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…9840backed Rockets | 51c | 49.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…afb4backed Warriors | 51c | 46.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…943cbacked Rockets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed Warriors | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Warriors | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rockets | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Warriors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Rockets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Warriors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Rockets | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Rockets | 49c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Rockets | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Warriors | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Warriors | 51c | 25.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Warriors | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…c3d6backed Warriors | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Rockets | 47c | 22.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…1da6backed Warriors | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Warriors | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00bb…9185backed Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Warriors | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)this page
- Rockets vs. WarriorsRockets won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.