TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3673…79f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-64.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$145.92
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.96
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$96.81
Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.34
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$195.01
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$97.51
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$97.51
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$235.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UCLA Bruins vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
San Jose State Spartans vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Villanova Wildcats vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+225.8%+$186.77
Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+117.2%+$101.39
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.83
Syracuse Orange vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33.87
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$48.33
Michigan Wolverines vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
UCLA Bruins vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+488.2%+$170.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$45.11
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$52.18
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.41
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$38.45
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$59.1
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.28
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$22.69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Canucksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$47.57
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will FC København win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$78.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.