Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. California Golden Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea69f1f4ca03ea19520f6e1cf580d27ccb2663a144875d2e0bc51f909af060bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof UCLA Bruins, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed California Golden Bears | 42c | 36,466$15,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,174 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 19,341$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA Bruins | 78c | 15,311$12,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,008.04 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears | 21c | 11,222$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,865.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCLA Bruins | 58c | 7,076$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed California Golden Bears | 29c | 6,538$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,613.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed California Golden Bears | 23c | 4,050$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.5 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 3,648$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCLA Bruins | 42c | 3,396$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.95 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed California Golden Bears | 22c | 3,387$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.37 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed California Golden Bears | 71c | 3,024$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked California Golden Bears | 22c | 2,245$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.89 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked UCLA Bruins | 1c | 1,976$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Golden Bears | 47c | 1,956$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked California Golden Bears | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.08 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked California Golden Bears | 23c | 1,803$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.96 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California Golden Bears | 23c | 1,710$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.65 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed UCLA Bruins | 63c | 1,626$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.36 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed California Golden Bears | 67c | 1,272$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.56 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed California Golden Bears | 34c | 1,248$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.54 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UCLA Bruins | 36c | 1,210$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.88 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCLA Bruins | 46c | 1,068$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCLA Bruins | 32c | 1,055$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.6 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed UCLA Bruins | 17c | 1,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed UCLA Bruins | 29c | 1,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed California Golden Bears | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked California Golden Bears | 23c | 915$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.55 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked California Golden Bears | 22c | 889$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.08 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked California Golden Bears | 24c | 800$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 793.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed California Golden Bears | 78c | 704$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed California Golden Bears | 23c | 677.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.39 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked UCLA Bruins | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked California Golden Bears | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked California Golden Bears | 24c | 574$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.24 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Golden Bears | 27c | 573.03$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed UCLA Bruins | 66c | 564.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b0…28f6backed UCLA Bruins | 76c | 550$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 473.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UCLA Bruins | 47c | 464.14$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed California Golden Bears | 55c | 429.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked California Golden Bears | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked California Golden Bears | 58c | 400$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked California Golden Bears | 23c | 382$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCLA Bruins | 38c | 372.28$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed California Golden Bears | 23c | 310.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.62 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked California Golden Bears | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed California Golden Bears | 49c | 231.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed California Golden Bears | 21c | 207$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.46 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…79f6backed California Golden Bears | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…251cbacked UCLA Bruins | 36c | 188.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UCLA Bruins | 12c | 175.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…23b3backed California Golden Bears | 59c | 168.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…4400backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 167.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCLA Bruins | 37c | 164.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed California Golden Bears | 22c | 138.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…3dccbacked California Golden Bears | 50c | 130.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed UCLA Bruins | 13c | 106.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…7572backed California Golden Bears | 19c | 104.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 75.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed UCLA Bruins | 50c | 71.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCLA Bruins | 69c | 70.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed California Golden Bears | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed California Golden Bears | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…e974backed California Golden Bears | 41c | 51.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked California Golden Bears | 21c | 51.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed California Golden Bears | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed California Golden Bears | 24c | 43.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked UCLA Bruins | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cc…0de4backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 39.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed UCLA Bruins | 62c | 30.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked California Golden Bears | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…81b2backed California Golden Bears | 74c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd709…5756backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…2fefbacked UCLA Bruins | 51c | 24.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed California Golden Bears | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.