TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f36…e974

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.46
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.82
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.23
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.35
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$27.05
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.94
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.71
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$49.7
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$15
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.7
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.29
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.2
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38%+$45.54
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.64
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Festina Lente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$9.82
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffsbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$37.8
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-54.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$30.45
New Mexico State Aggies vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.67
San Jose State Spartans vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$5.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs ROSE (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.