TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Atlanta Dream, Golden State Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Atlanta Dream14c22,530$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.896467.2%43 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream2c16,653$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2234726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Atlanta Dream2c13,105$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2310923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Atlanta Dream1c12,264$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.96214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Atlanta Dream1c9,500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Atlanta Dream19c9,111$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.283933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries71c8,585$6,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.871,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream20c8,245$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.751,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream9c7,613$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.1674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream28c7,546$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,14023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Atlanta Dream14c5,222$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.410340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Atlanta Dream59c5,088$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008762.1%54 W · 33 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Atlanta Dream56c4,618$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Golden State Valkyries47c4,306$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.431656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…b386backed Atlanta Dream13c4,196$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Golden State Valkyries76c4,055$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.0312144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Golden State Valkyries56c3,532$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.6712165.3%79 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Atlanta Dream2c3,500$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7713024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries62c3,444$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.2385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Dream55c3,435$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.4640550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta Dream57c3,376$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.0514346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Atlanta Dream1c2,992$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.219642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries44c2,880$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.0632049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Atlanta Dream44c2,819$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.1321446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries45c2,460$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.8623245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Atlanta Dream43c2,200$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.993444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Atlanta Dream50c2,184$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.2312045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Atlanta Dream43c2,155$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.0713844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries64c2,127$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.8355255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Golden State Valkyries45c2,105$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.747236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Golden State Valkyries58c1,724$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5519458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Golden State Valkyries45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Atlanta Dream2c1,535$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Golden State Valkyries67c1,476$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.975466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries46c1,444$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.0178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Atlanta Dream47c1,358$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.619129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries44c1,198$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Atlanta Dream21c1,095$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Dream42c1,075$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9319428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Atlanta Dream4c1,066$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.168535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f1…aa80backed Atlanta Dream44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Golden State Valkyries44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56014060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88cb…d3a2backed Atlanta Dream57c864$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.481435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Atlanta Dream2c806.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.823234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Atlanta Dream1c800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Atlanta Dream13c794.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…9f95backed Atlanta Dream42c707.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Dream5c702.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2610634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fe…b350backed Atlanta Dream13c675.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.775942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4027…30b9backed Atlanta Dream24c668.69$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.552339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Atlanta Dream22c653.83$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Atlanta Dream4c653.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries43c627.25$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.9283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Golden State Valkyries48c615.76$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6436750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Atlanta Dream27c599.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Golden State Valkyries44c567.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0714942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Dream56c550.43$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2432743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Atlanta Dream57c522.88$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.455766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Atlanta Dream13c518.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.46908.9%8 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd654…45c2backed Golden State Valkyries42c517.84$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.354060%24 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Golden State Valkyries65c513.68$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.685844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Golden State Valkyries43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2859318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ff…6a28backed Atlanta Dream13c485$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Golden State Valkyries60c475.48$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6517656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Atlanta Dream22c456.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.946437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Atlanta Dream17c450$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.22015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+90.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Golden State Valkyries44c435.97$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.717746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Atlanta Dream35c424.33$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.52520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Golden State Valkyries44c391.96$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.589635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Atlanta Dream56c355.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Atlanta Dream56c322.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.814148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…421ebacked Atlanta Dream21c310$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Atlanta Dream13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.983852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Atlanta Dream5c287.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9219031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Golden State Valkyries41c277.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9912234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7e…3b66backed Atlanta Dream38c270$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Atlanta Dream20c256.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.141030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Golden State Valkyries56c256.04$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7530347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Golden State Valkyries61c250$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Atlanta Dream42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68da…37b5backed Atlanta Dream35c233.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Atlanta Dream13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Atlanta Dream46c230$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.815250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…9a2fbacked Atlanta Dream33c227.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream49c218.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6338744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries59c217.95$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2338645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0503…b938backed Atlanta Dream31c204.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.152626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Golden State Valkyries40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1839…4d0dbacked Atlanta Dream13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Atlanta Dream47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.53246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6334…6fa3backed Atlanta Dream45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked Golden State Valkyries68c200$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.61090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe29…69f9backed Atlanta Dream58c198.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Dream55c191$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0521150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed Atlanta Dream53c189.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.491866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+52.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Golden State Valkyries61c187.81$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.454663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabd9…1f88backed Atlanta Dream40c187.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Golden State Valkyries42c180$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Atlanta Dream57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.