WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7c82ef3fcabf8fe4a5cd8505bfd558e4f023565fafb3aa5f2721bd57cc171fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,434$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…372cbacked Under | 52c | 2,875$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 55c | 2,680$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.38 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,021$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.16 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 736.52$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.53 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 682.88$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.08 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Under | 52c | 649.43$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 50c | 592.8$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 260.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 136$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…03cabacked Under | 68c | 63.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 27.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Under | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 71c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.