WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ecf1213a160d81bb892f31b425ebf6213ca20416c773b440a9776576134cbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Atlanta Dream, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 11,600$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 9,887$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 6,592$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 2,917$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.13 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 2,387$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 2,000$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.23 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 963.47$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 791.92$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 700.71$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 626.42$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 405$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 391.52$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 286$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 61.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.