WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8409a1f48dbbd22b544778c9c1ca4aeff5e6a72c17ee7d301a443add8667cc1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Atlanta Dream, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 3,327$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.42 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 2,758$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.43 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…f18ebacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 2,495$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 1,925$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 1,819$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.75 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 841.59$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.79 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 744.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 581.83$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 567.04$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 452.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 273$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 45c | 199.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 65c | 188.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Golden State Valkyries | 44c | 114$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Atlanta Dream | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 47.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Atlanta Dream | 34c | 35.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 23.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.