TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0503…b938

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$27.98
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+269%+$26.9
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.15
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+300.6%+$65.22
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$45.07
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Feverbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Atlanta Dream vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.61
Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertybacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dreambacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+148%+$53.7
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Feverbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$284.44
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+199.3%+$24.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$50.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$160.44
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.