WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41b5a0166f3201dab772d08b157f271fe268334193b3d5fd60ff3d8e2943bd2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 28,135$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,826.44 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 11,544$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.12 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 9,622$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 8,577$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.26 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 6,893$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 6,182$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.96 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 6,076$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.76 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 5,712$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.7 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 5,363$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 3,669$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.34 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 3,643$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 3,215$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.44 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 3,064$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.46 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 3,036$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.35 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 2,585$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.95 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 2,417$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.11 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 2,280$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.15 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 1,986$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.54 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 1,963$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 1,861$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.78 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 1,800$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,501$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.59 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 1,499$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.15 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 1,392$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…152fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 1,308$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 1,301$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 1,255$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.18 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,088$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…0089backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…a435backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Las Vegas Aces | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 875$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…e0f2backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 873$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 872.77$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.34 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 856.52$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.34 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Las Vegas Aces | 70c | 821.18$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 58c | 815.23$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.66 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 813.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 71c | 746.58$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…594cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 734.32$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 734.13$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 728.12$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 689.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 679.72$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 652.18$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 640$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 617$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 39c | 597.85$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 588$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…1c82backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 565.01$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 531.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 478.53$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 435.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 419.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…e474backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 397.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.28 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Phoenix Mercury | 10c | 381$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 374.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 370.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 363.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 356.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 342.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 337.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 330.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 25c | 324.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 318.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81c…3d28backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 312.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…1549backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 297.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Las Vegas Aces | 68c | 282$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 273.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Phoenix Mercury | 7c | 270.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 266.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 252.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2837backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…034dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 246$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 244.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…df25backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 243.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…fdaabacked Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 242.62$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 236.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 234.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 231.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Phoenix Mercury | 34c | 224.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…4800backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 213.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 212$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 209.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 208$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 200.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…f8ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 194.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 193.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 171.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 172.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.