WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8757f3aba51f94aeed8cc29c2da537579b69ca58b0185de702aee951fe096462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Phoenix Mercury, Minnesota Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $687,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $756,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 70,000$19,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,593.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…d14ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 61,019$42,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,267.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 48,535$14,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,510.01 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Minnesota Lynx | 69c | 31,163$21,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,660.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Lynx | 73c | 25,000$18,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.99 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Lynx | 77c | 19,037$14,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,396.56 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 18,326$8,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,010.49 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 70c | 16,197$11,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.79 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 15,500$6,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,355 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Minnesota Lynx | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 13,030$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.52 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Minnesota Lynx | 64c | 12,054$7,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 11,239$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.8 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…7191backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 8,841$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.15 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 8,039$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.11 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Lynx | 67c | 6,298$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.63 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 6,046$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 4,246$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.41 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 4,072$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Minnesota Lynx | 65c | 4,022$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 3,967$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.71 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 3,945$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.78 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 3,940$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.45 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Minnesota Lynx | 77c | 3,805$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 3,803$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.37 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 3,685$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.39 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 26c | 3,682$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.02 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 3,550$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 3,517$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.9 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 69c | 3,509$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.94 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 3,470$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.52 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Minnesota Lynx | 65c | 2,918$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.74 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 2,777$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Phoenix Mercury | 42c | 2,767$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.94 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 2,486$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.92 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 77c | 2,314$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.14 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Minnesota Lynx | 66c | 2,200$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 2,187$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.38 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 22c | 2,116$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…84e6backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 2,090$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Minnesota Lynx | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Phoenix Mercury | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…5fc2backed Minnesota Lynx | 63c | 1,997$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Minnesota Lynx | 78c | 1,850$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 80c | 1,816$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.23 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Minnesota Lynx | 66c | 1,745$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.06 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Phoenix Mercury | 31c | 1,683$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.23 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 1,608$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.57 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 1,591$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Minnesota Lynx | 72c | 1,559$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.66 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,513$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.76 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 1,505$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.47 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…7437backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 1,448$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.3 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 1,445$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…b45ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 76c | 1,441$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,419$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Minnesota Lynx | 77c | 1,402$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.76 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Phoenix Mercury | 12c | 1,365$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.88 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Minnesota Lynx | 76c | 1,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,318$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.1 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,305$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.81 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…215fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 1,300$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 1,299$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.06 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phoenix Mercury | 32c | 1,287$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.45 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 1,225$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 1,222$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.73 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 1,130$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.24 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Phoenix Mercury | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 67c | 970.99$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 966.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 963.83$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 61c | 931.61$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 13c | 924.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 36c | 904.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.91 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 902.02$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 899.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Minnesota Lynx | 79c | 888.57$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Phoenix Mercury | 24c | 888.43$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 839.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.63 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 836.26$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Phoenix Mercury | 14c | 805$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…724ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 18c | 800$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Phoenix Mercury | 19c | 798.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 783.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…d32cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 778.74$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Lynx | 71c | 775.58$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 763.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 4c | 734.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 732$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 731.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 710.66$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.9 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed Minnesota Lynx | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…2e99backed Phoenix Mercury | 43c | 697.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 682.28$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Phoenix Mercury | 27c | 671.17$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.45 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Phoenix Mercury | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxthis page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.