WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafb55b4a8b666fe25913a500a5289b85133ee9abd7c6ca70d26058d04467dc4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Minnesota Lynx, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 1c | 5,277$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 4,460$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.24 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 4,170$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.56 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 3,713$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 3,350$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.51 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 2,762$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.03 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 2,713$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.3 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 2,220$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.91 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 2,151$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.32 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,883$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.76 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 1,811$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 15c | 1,717$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 1,219$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.94 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc473…f293backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,131$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.02 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 872.91$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.83 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Minnesota Lynx | 10c | 760.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 722.44$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Minnesota Lynx | 17c | 537.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Lynx | 32c | 418$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minnesota Lynx | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 376.96$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 318.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 290$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 275.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…4907backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 202.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Minnesota Lynx | 12c | 180.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 162.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 148.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 139.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 138.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 137.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 135.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 124.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 121.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 28c | 118.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 112.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 98.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 91.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 69.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 68.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 36c | 65.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 51c | 55.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 47.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 46.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Phoenix Mercury | 52c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…11dabacked Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 37.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eca1backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 20.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Over won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.