WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a7cda59ebf636d56ab2af001494b6bedfb57d61ff2bdb6637acfc6acec0a1ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Washington Mystics, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Washington Mystics | 15c | 100,752$15,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,039.85 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Washington Mystics | 6c | 71,804$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.67 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Mystics | 15c | 3,188$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.43 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Washington Mystics | 1c | 3,023$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Mystics | 18c | 2,742$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.88 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Washington Mystics | 14c | 2,584$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Mystics | 11c | 2,526$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.5 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics | 17c | 2,500$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.94 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Mystics | 7c | 2,483$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.13 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Washington Mystics | 14c | 2,280$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Washington Mystics | 19c | 2,147$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Mystics | 17c | 2,029$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.42 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Washington Mystics | 13c | 1,522$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Washington Mystics | 18c | 1,353$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.57 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Washington Mystics | 4c | 1,246$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Mystics | 14c | 1,004$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Mystics | 6c | 776$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Washington Mystics | 16c | 745.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 12c | 708.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…6e68backed Washington Mystics | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Washington Mystics | 14c | 643.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Mystics | 12c | 587.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.32 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…44b1backed Washington Mystics | 14c | 512.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington Mystics | 9c | 506.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…eea5backed Washington Mystics | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…149cbacked Washington Mystics | 11c | 479.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Washington Mystics | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Washington Mystics | 15c | 358.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Washington Mystics | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…b938backed Washington Mystics | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Washington Mystics | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Washington Mystics | 13c | 254.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Mystics | 11c | 192.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Washington Mystics | 15c | 179.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Mystics | 11c | 179.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Washington Mystics | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Mystics | 10c | 150.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Washington Mystics | 14c | 141.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…e4f1backed Washington Mystics | 13c | 116.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Mystics | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Mystics | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…dfa6backed Washington Mystics | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d2…9096backed Washington Mystics | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…e010backed New York Liberty | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1d83backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…1331backed New York Liberty | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8626backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…89a3backed New York Liberty | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…7333backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…051abacked New York Liberty | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertythis page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.