WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec6c2312cf5bfdc9637324f77552a71eca0eb60464d22962439f2c9894ad12c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 56c | 978$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.61 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 44c | 838$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.66 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 50c | 441.19$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 359.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 10c | 250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 239.21$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 67c | 223.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 51c | 196.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 193.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 161.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 54c | 148.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed Over | 52c | 146.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 120.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 53c | 95.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 65.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 30.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…bec6backed Over | 52c | 29.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 45c | 26.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 56c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.