WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e9759d4ce89a3c1e66785dfb977eeb8b2f8ddc73f174e17f694d75e3508fc5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Mystics | 19c | 4,374$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.19 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…3042backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 4,270$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Liberty | 50c | 3,999$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.69 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed New York Liberty | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 2,836$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.06 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Liberty | 50c | 2,075$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.85 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 1,954$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 53c | 1,606$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.96 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 1,584$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.33 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Liberty | 54c | 504.88$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 425.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked New York Liberty | 50c | 384.61$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 50c | 301.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Washington Mystics | 20c | 271.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Liberty | 51c | 255.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Liberty | 53c | 229$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 227.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 213.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 213.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Liberty | 50c | 209.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 192.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 159.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 151.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed New York Liberty | 52c | 115.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington Mystics | 38c | 112.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 103.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics | 31c | 87.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Washington Mystics | 18c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Washington Mystics | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed New York Liberty | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed New York Liberty | 52c | 51.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Washington Mystics | 36c | 50.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 49.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 48.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed New York Liberty | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked New York Liberty | 55c | 46.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 43.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 40.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed New York Liberty | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 37.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 35.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed New York Liberty | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 54c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Liberty | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.