WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed81e0b8b7874ff876b4fa7e0682ea99db66db6267bea76ac1026e533280f05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Over | 49c | 9,478$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 5,558$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 2,662$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.23 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…dfa0backed Over | 51c | 2,646$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 1,439$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.69 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 1,212$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.86 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 912.36$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.86 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 840$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 19c | 501.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 447.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 69c | 434.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 49c | 329.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 301.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 45c | 301.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 225.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 56c | 180.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 158.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 127.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 124$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 112$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 46c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 53c | 93.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 84.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 18c | 79.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 18c | 77.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 55c | 72.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 49c | 57.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 57.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Over | 56c | 50.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 49c | 49.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…4531backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 51c | 31.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Under | 46c | 30.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 54c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 55c | 18.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5this page
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)New York Liberty won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.