TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,206,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,372,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,206,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves2c1,120,543$23,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,321.5925925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Spurs65c801,599$521,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280,559.798148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Timberwolves35c800,000$280,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280,000.086445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves25c249,718$61,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,820.1585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves32c240,586$77,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,588.2964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Spurs65c147,334$96,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,996.1824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves14c145,502$20,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,553.554825%12 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves34c134,564$46,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,098.41,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Timberwolves33c132,667$43,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,779.9711137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Timberwolves26c116,115$30,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,234.095940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Spurs65c104,225$67,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,954.1420454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Spurs69c93,316$63,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,394.415940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves21c85,926$17,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,834.414538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs72c76,069$54,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,470.7918651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Timberwolves1c64,726$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.985213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Spurs66c62,013$40,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,084.372166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Spurs68c51,620$35,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,518.5220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs67c50,001$33,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,500.329745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs67c45,050$30,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,866.531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Timberwolves0c44,592$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Timberwolves32c40,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,80037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f4…3eacbacked Spurs67c38,805$25,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,971.331050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Timberwolves34c38,019$12,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,820.164139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Spurs66c35,010$23,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,903.44148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Timberwolves6c32,083$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.083179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Spurs79c30,000$23,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,336.521758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+94.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs65c30,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Timberwolves34c29,999$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.8327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Timberwolves4c26,138$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.0219937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Timberwolves35c23,000$8,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,05013534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Timberwolves6c22,864$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.1427247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Timberwolves6c21,768$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.143246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs78c21,619$16,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.441,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked Timberwolves2c20,969$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.281233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed Timberwolves24c20,470$4,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,836.276060%36 W · 24 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Spurs67c20,400$13,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,731.9724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spurs65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0007869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Spurs68c19,419$13,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,292.037342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs67c19,220$12,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,413.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x749e…1090backed Timberwolves33c18,591$6,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,134.14837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7b…f1ccbacked Timberwolves2c18,065$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802850%14 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked Timberwolves3c17,154$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs66c15,168$10,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.831,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Spurs68c15,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves32c15,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb865…c1d1backed Timberwolves34c14,999$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Timberwolves32c14,836$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,747.3916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa70c…72f7backed Spurs65c13,999$9,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Spurs78c13,200$10,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.894459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b0…01bbbacked Timberwolves2c13,131$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Timberwolves33c12,244$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,049.6915140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs66c12,121$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.2142348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves33c11,999$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,016.4932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Timberwolves33c11,988$3,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,956.25347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Timberwolves6c11,916$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.158923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Timberwolves33c11,880$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.497758.4%45 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Spurs78c11,790$9,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,535.6911955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves0c10,800$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.15502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e43…2d31backed Spurs65c10,642$6,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f3…874fbacked Spurs65c10,503$6,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a68…fce8backed Spurs65c10,439$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Spurs66c10,376$6,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.128661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs66c10,322$6,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.5656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Spurs79c10,236$8,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.3624937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Timberwolves14c10,149$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.4389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Timberwolves2c10,089$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Timberwolves0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Spurs68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.995352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8e…34cebacked Spurs65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Spurs65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.978763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Timberwolves10c9,821$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Spurs67c9,800$6,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.9521446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Timberwolves7c9,597$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.7610757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves15c9,578$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.8155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Timberwolves4c9,187$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.83745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Timberwolves21c9,183$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.734445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2b…e0e6backed Timberwolves34c8,824$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spurs66c8,816$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.4943051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves6c8,534$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.341,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Timberwolves30c8,343$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.4620537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves35c8,270$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8684,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Spurs65c8,149$5,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.2349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8aa…ae12backed Timberwolves24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.997829.5%23 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Timberwolves33c8,000$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.2462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Spurs68c7,882$5,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.128756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…bef7backed Timberwolves14c7,801$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.8414626.7%39 W · 107 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e19…ac9ebacked Timberwolves34c7,762$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f9…123dbacked Spurs66c7,727$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Timberwolves14c7,674$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.35540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs68c7,353$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.9410747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs68c7,338$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.9590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Timberwolves32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2408345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef1…b97dbacked Spurs65c7,000$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Timberwolves33c6,936$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.7253539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Timberwolves21c6,853$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.6262144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Spurs67c6,835$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.555646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Spurs67c6,788$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.342751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed Timberwolves10c6,726$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.923834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x625c…61d1backed Timberwolves2c6,675$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254725.5%12 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+55.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Spurs78c6,538$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.465076%38 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.