NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45344e5179315233844c6448f4ac5b22c651d205d3430ec069042d6cd2257957

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $80,414
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,414 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbe7e…6d00backed Timberwolves	14c	6,518$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	110	34.5%38 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Spurs	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.99	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Timberwolves	33c	3,966$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.55	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs	52c	3,455$1,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,654.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Timberwolves	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs	48c	2,915$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.8	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Timberwolves	45c	2,200$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs	56c	2,142$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.17	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Timberwolves	77c	2,041$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	68cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs	45c	1,894$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.79	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs	58c	1,834$1,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.13	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs	48c	1,562$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.12	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves	51c	1,428$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.66	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Spurs	71c	1,413$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.21	432	69.2%299 W · 133 L	+10.7wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves	53c	1,384$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.76	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs	45c	1,188$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves	30c	1,153$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Timberwolves	42c	1,129$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.38	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Timberwolves	65c	1,110$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.17	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs	52c	1,061$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.88	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs	45c	1,022$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.22	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Timberwolves	39c	1,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Timberwolves	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Timberwolves	49c	999.99$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves	80c	875$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Spurs	23c	869.57$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.57	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs	61c	867.75$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.71	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Spurs	76c	832.51$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.8	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs	61c	767.94$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.94	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Timberwolves	30c	666.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs	56c	586.77$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.99	272	45.6%124 W · 148 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Timberwolves	77c	543.31$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.35	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Spurs	63c	500$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Timberwolves	55c	454.55$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Spurs	62c	445.26$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.78	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Timberwolves	77c	443.99$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.87	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs	44c	440.14$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.94	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs	23c	440$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.8	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs	23c	434.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.78	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Timberwolves	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	114	40.4%46 W · 68 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs	46c	413.04$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.04	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Spurs	79c	408.12$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.1	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Timberwolves	17c	400$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Timberwolves	78c	384.62$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	112	61.6%69 W · 43 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Timberwolves	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Timberwolves	47c	333$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.51	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-51%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs	35c	322.07$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.35	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves	19c	320.69$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Timberwolves	77c	303.28$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.53	292	43.8%128 W · 164 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves	47c	300.91$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.86	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Spurs	33c	300$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201	79	44.3%35 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Timberwolves	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	185	36.8%68 W · 117 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x984c…e508backed Spurs	70c	299.98$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked Timberwolves	78c	273.8$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.58	41	61%25 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Timberwolves	28c	253.97$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	55	25.5%14 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Spurs	22c	209.45$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.42	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves	77c	184.72$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.98	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs	44c	184$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.75	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb035…d989backed Timberwolves	57c	170.44$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.15	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…2918backed Timberwolves	31c	161.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed Timberwolves	55c	159.27$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.6	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves	35c	144$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.13	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Timberwolves	57c	140$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.8	958	48.7%467 W · 491 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Timberwolves	56c	137.5$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	152	48%73 W · 79 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3301…95bfbacked Timberwolves	12c	126.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc1…6e52backed Timberwolves	78c	125.23$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.68	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	77cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ff…b324backed Timberwolves	20c	124.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Spurs	56c	118.86$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.3	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Timberwolves	29c	110$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	147	40.8%60 W · 87 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Timberwolves	35c	110$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+12.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Timberwolves	73c	106.67$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.87	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Timberwolves	68c	102.94$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Timberwolves	14c	102.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.37	199	52.3%104 W · 95 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Timberwolves	73c	102.06$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.51	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Spurs	67c	100.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Spurs	40c	100.33$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.7	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Spurs	40c	100.33$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.7	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Spurs	40c	100.33$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.7	88	43.2%38 W · 50 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Timberwolves	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	232	46.1%107 W · 125 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Timberwolves	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Timberwolves	59c	97.19$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.47	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Timberwolves	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	348	49.7%173 W · 175 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Timberwolves	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+4.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ffa…6822backed Spurs	40c	92.5$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.5	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Timberwolves	65c	90.77$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Spurs	44c	87.91$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.09	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6658…8afdbacked Timberwolves	64c	85$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5cd…4249backed Timberwolves	47c	81.87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.48	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Spurs	57c	80.93$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Spurs	61c	80.12$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.86	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Spurs	44c	71.79$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	221	43.4%96 W · 125 L	-12.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Timberwolves	35c	69.19$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Timberwolves	23c	65.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	112	33.9%38 W · 74 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x286c…c07fbacked Spurs	23c	65.22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.22	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	39cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Timberwolves	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs	75c	59$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.76	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Spurs	43c	51.19$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.19	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Timberwolves	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	90	61.1%55 W · 35 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Timberwolves	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-15.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event