NBA · resolved market
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ee375a14bae87ec51ea7911c6b5c60fc4c4b6f13611857a644b0aafd29d7b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 52c | 2,237$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.97 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 1,085$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.42 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…2730backed Yes | 45c | 687.19$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 48c | 639.24$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…75e9backed Yes | 49c | 406.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed No | 49c | 399.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.97 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed No | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 52c | 232.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 55c | 218.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 52c | 208.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes | 56c | 204.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Yes | 48c | 204$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…31bcbacked Yes | 51c | 195.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 173.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 48c | 159.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 49c | 121.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…68a4backed No | 51c | 98.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed No | 53c | 90.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 51c | 90.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Yes | 24c | 83.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 49c | 70.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…7f76backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 49c | 69.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…1c29backed No | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Yes | 34c | 52.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked Yes | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…9db0backed Yes | 56c | 44.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…9903backed Yes | 51c | 44.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 42.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Yes | 48c | 41.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 51c | 40.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed No | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 51c | 31.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 48c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…1c15backed Yes | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…dc08backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 54c | 21.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 51c | 21.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 63c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.