NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9b088a5e9d1163937d8172c1c26308276341f04bec0ad59a9ec28446b8f0a2

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,121 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves	52c	38,374$19,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,883.59	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs	48c	33,502$15,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,565.43	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Spurs	39c	22,787$8,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,900.3	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves	61c	15,139$9,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,234.79	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Timberwolves	61c	8,607$5,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,250	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs	42c	8,128$3,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,695.09	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Timberwolves	59c	7,981$4,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,708.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Timberwolves	10c	5,489$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.93	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Timberwolves	39c	3,763$1,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,451.32	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	14c	3,657$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.23	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Spurs	40c	3,579$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,147.3	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves	61c	3,250$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.55	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Timberwolves	63c	2,622$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,664.27	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves	46c	2,017$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.48	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs	50c	1,837$911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.66	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	61c	1,438$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.66	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs	39c	1,400$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Timberwolves	60c	1,300$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Timberwolves	35c	1,300$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.98	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs	49c	1,192$584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.82	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Spurs	50c	1,069$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.8	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs	39c	999.97$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.98	100	49%49 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Timberwolves	17c	981.05$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.78	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Timberwolves	32c	969.95$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.46	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs	52c	669.23$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.23	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Spurs	38c	639.02$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.18	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Spurs	64c	624.99$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs	41c	609.76$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.76	97	25.8%25 W · 72 L	-9.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs	51c	580$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.35	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs	38c	530$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.6	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Timberwolves	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Timberwolves	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	220	39.1%86 W · 134 L	+14.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs	79c	499.95$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.99	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves	19c	457.92$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.2	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs	50c	416.46$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.74	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Timberwolves	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	125	48%60 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs	65c	360.97$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.34	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83f0…4209backed Timberwolves	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Timberwolves	61c	327.87$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Timberwolves	63c	317.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Timberwolves	40c	300.2$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.59	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4f…47a4backed Timberwolves	35c	299.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves	30c	261.84$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.09	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Timberwolves	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Timberwolves	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Timberwolves	50c	241.98$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+8.9wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Timberwolves	10c	234$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Timberwolves	7c	232.69$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.98	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Spurs	50c	222.22$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.11	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe679…871fbacked Timberwolves	63c	219.02$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.98	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Spurs	69c	218.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Timberwolves	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	561	54.5%306 W · 255 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Timberwolves	21c	206.38$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.34	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Spurs	39c	200.1$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.06	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Spurs	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	910	50.9%463 W · 447 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs	49c	196.08$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Timberwolves	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cd…4249backed Timberwolves	35c	172.69$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.05	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs	39c	170.17$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.99	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…6c08backed Spurs	64c	151.97$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.19	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.5wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Spurs	51c	145.88$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.48	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves	47c	145.08$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.71	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs	39c	143$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.23	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Spurs	53c	142.26$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.86	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Timberwolves	60c	135.53$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.68	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Timberwolves	56c	119.38$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.85	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Spurs	65c	118.25$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.39	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Timberwolves	60c	107.49$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.49	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…72c3backed Timberwolves	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Spurs	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	118	50.8%60 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Timberwolves	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.3	549	51.9%285 W · 264 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Timberwolves	54c	97.21$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.15	194	45.9%89 W · 105 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves	60c	85.19$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.11	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Timberwolves	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Timberwolves	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs	63c	75$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.75	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Timberwolves	60c	70$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	172	36%62 W · 110 L	-19.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Timberwolves	16c	69.94$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Timberwolves	60c	66.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cef…8634backed Spurs	52c	65.58$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.48	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Timberwolves	61c	65.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	348	49.7%173 W · 175 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x47ac…6b02backed Timberwolves	37c	65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Timberwolves	54c	62.58$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.92	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Timberwolves	52c	57.19$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Timberwolves	62c	47.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3582…88f2backed Timberwolves	63c	47.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs	38c	47.62$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.51	186	53.2%99 W · 87 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd337…7564backed Spurs	40c	47.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Timberwolves	54c	46.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…91abbacked Timberwolves	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs	37c	40.91$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.77	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Timberwolves	62c	40.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	92	71.7%66 W · 26 L	+11.0wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Timberwolves	52c	39.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Timberwolves	55c	36.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.19	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	+26.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Timberwolves	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Spurs	65c	32.74$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.46	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event