NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0ae273dc9adfba5ee7f4d2d8cee9ed44482d0c0b3f70efcd593ee1afe0726f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 13c | 29,007$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.8 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 2,221$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 33c | 2,100$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 73c | 1,781$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.66 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 29c | 1,759$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.1 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Over | 75c | 1,552$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 31c | 1,241$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.11 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 24c | 1,226$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.89 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 26c | 751.44$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Over | 71c | 687.06$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 25c | 680$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Over | 77c | 655.84$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 34c | 499.03$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 73c | 489.23$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 72c | 460.82$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 29c | 443.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 28c | 416.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 349.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 34c | 327.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 71c | 323.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 18c | 302.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 77c | 260.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 40c | 259$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 33c | 254.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…37dabacked Over | 77c | 246.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 14c | 228.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 66c | 219.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Over | 75c | 200.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…41b0backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 29c | 199.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 28c | 178.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…9db0backed Under | 20c | 175.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…5ff2backed Over | 70c | 141.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Over | 71c | 140.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 34c | 101.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 34c | 100.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 14c | 99.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 30c | 99.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 99.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Over | 71c | 82.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 70c | 69.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a471backed Over | 70c | 55.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 69c | 55.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 31c | 50.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Over | 73c | 41.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 29c | 39.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…43c7backed Over | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…a79ebacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…8719backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 76c | 15.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.