NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189f9b669c8e85fbacecb425957b45dd5dae67335036e08c09ecc1c8db347a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 46c | 186,957$86,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,367.9 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Over | 51c | 61,403$31,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,087.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 50,000$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,400 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 55c | 32,310$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,560.04 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 23,217$11,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,376.33 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 51c | 21,000$10,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,290 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 20,770$12,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 9,919$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.31 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 9,653$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.53 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 50c | 7,656$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…4024backed Under | 48c | 7,482$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,591.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 6,798$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.43 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Under | 49c | 6,140$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 49c | 5,504$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.96 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…ab32backed Under | 49c | 5,091$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Over | 52c | 4,705$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.16 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 4,298$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.87 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Over | 48c | 4,124$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.16 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 4,010$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 3,946$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.05 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 3,691$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.33 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…5d97backed Under | 49c | 3,449$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 58c | 3,342$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 49c | 3,251$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.21 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 3,172$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.78 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…97b6backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Under | 48c | 2,724$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 49c | 2,278$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 2,266$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 2,121$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.29 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 51c | 1,954$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.99 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Under | 50c | 1,768$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.91 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 58c | 1,731$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.18 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.14 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.75 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 1,493$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.57 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 51c | 1,401$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.69 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 59c | 1,250$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…8fd4backed Over | 52c | 1,153$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 51c | 1,141$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Over | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 3c | 1,102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 52c | 896.15$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 67c | 868.99$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.77 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 34c | 856$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.68 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 59c | 776.29$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked Over | 71c | 762.33$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 51c | 745$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 4c | 723.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Under | 38c | 711.5$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Under | 51c | 682.77$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Over | 51c | 630.02$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.71 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Over | 51c | 607.86$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…56e0backed Under | 49c | 607.86$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 49c | 605.2$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…7854backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 587.36$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.18 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…da6dbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 555.04$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.51 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Under | 48c | 549.39$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.71 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 59c | 502.31$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 502.12$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 8c | 499.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 426$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Under | 52c | 423.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.