NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14fecc53830ff25f969188563c91fbee6800a03bc25cc6a60d6ffe9c09077e60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evenof Odd, Even
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Odd | 51c | 1,216$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Even | 42c | 694.88$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.54 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Even | 36c | 316.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Even | 49c | 305.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Odd | 64c | 197$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…41febacked Odd | 52c | 153.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b53…ca11backed Odd | 52c | 151.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Odd | 64c | 144.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…3b21backed Odd | 52c | 134.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…044cbacked Odd | 52c | 120.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…f56abacked Odd | 52c | 108.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…daecbacked Odd | 52c | 102.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…43b4backed Odd | 52c | 100.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d7…f04abacked Even | 51c | 98.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa148…6a72backed Odd | 52c | 89.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…87efbacked Odd | 52c | 87.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…a3b0backed Even | 51c | 79.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0596…450bbacked Even | 51c | 77.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…3c55backed Even | 51c | 76.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…aa48backed Odd | 52c | 75.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…ec4ebacked Even | 51c | 74.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…4010backed Odd | 52c | 70.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…12a0backed Odd | 52c | 70.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ee…f666backed Even | 51c | 68.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…8770backed Even | 51c | 60.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…5509backed Even | 51c | 59.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…d3eebacked Odd | 52c | 58.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ae8bbacked Even | 51c | 52.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…cdadbacked Even | 51c | 51.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cd…645fbacked Even | 51c | 51.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4644…ce0fbacked Even | 51c | 49.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa572…ce30backed Odd | 52c | 48.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144a…9468backed Even | 51c | 46.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…f5a1backed Even | 51c | 43.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…8c68backed Even | 51c | 42.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed9…3a70backed Odd | 52c | 42.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…719ebacked Even | 51c | 42.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…2219backed Even | 51c | 41.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…9d3dbacked Even | 51c | 38.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07e…f704backed Even | 51c | 38.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Even | 37c | 37.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea1…4366backed Even | 51c | 35.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…5a3ebacked Even | 51c | 34.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…1e15backed Even | 51c | 34.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…469fbacked Even | 51c | 33.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Odd | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…729ebacked Even | 33c | 31.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…720ebacked Even | 51c | 30.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e47abacked Odd | 52c | 29.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…8d60backed Even | 51c | 29.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…0b8fbacked Even | 51c | 28.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e0…f0eebacked Even | 51c | 28.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…0d1ebacked Even | 51c | 28.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…14e0backed Odd | 52c | 24.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…19efbacked Even | 51c | 23.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb181…2e4cbacked Even | 51c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…7561backed Even | 51c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7939…bad1backed Even | 51c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even Scorethis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.