NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ec97e4c56f9fcc8caec6bb6afe9c63c83d47149d2c69c5059df4ec241adf7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 52c | 8,240$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.42 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 52c | 7,862$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.8 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 45c | 7,229$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.66 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,402$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.88 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…fe64backed Spurs | 56c | 5,950$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,730$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.45 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Spurs | 52c | 3,170$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.42 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 2,902$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Spurs | 77c | 2,599$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.2 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 51c | 2,595$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.77 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spurs | 24c | 2,508$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.01 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 2,211$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.79 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,167$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.16 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Timberwolves | 5c | 1,783$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…637dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,221$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs | 72c | 1,073$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.86 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 60c | 994.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.15 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 826.34$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 51c | 777.17$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.34 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Spurs | 73c | 670$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Timberwolves | 48c | 665.56$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.47 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 610.96$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…2492backed Timberwolves | 48c | 605.38$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 53c | 590.76$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.66 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Timberwolves | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Timberwolves | 22c | 501.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Spurs | 68c | 456.53$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed Timberwolves | 57c | 441.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Timberwolves | 25c | 420$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 392.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Spurs | 30c | 383.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.28 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 53c | 380.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 48c | 334.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 326.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 54c | 302.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 293$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 38c | 279.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Spurs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 52c | 254.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Timberwolves | 12c | 211.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 61c | 205.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 203.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Timberwolves | 33c | 153.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 28c | 153.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…a5dcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…67e4backed Spurs | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Spurs | 71c | 102.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Timberwolves | 36c | 93.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Spurs | 54c | 93.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 305 | 44.6%136 W · 169 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Timberwolves | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…da0dbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 79.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e652backed Spurs | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 74.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Spurs | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Spurs | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…8765backed Timberwolves | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Spurs | 72c | 54.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Spurs | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Timberwolves | 69c | 39.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs | 78c | 37.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Spurs | 58c | 36.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Timberwolves | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 34.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Timberwolves | 47c | 32.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…041bbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 29.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Spurs | 53c | 26.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…11adbacked Spurs | 53c | 25.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Timberwolves | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 24.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Spurs | 71c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 193 | 60.1%116 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 78c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Spurs | 78c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.