TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs52c8,240$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.4218651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs52c7,862$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves45c7,229$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.6669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves48c6,402$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.8864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x089f…fe64backed Spurs56c5,950$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves48c5,730$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.4511737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Spurs52c3,170$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.425459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Timberwolves76c2,902$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Spurs77c2,599$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.243269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs51c2,595$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.771,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Spurs24c2,508$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.0158740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Timberwolves36c2,211$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.791,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed Timberwolves48c2,167$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.165664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Timberwolves47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Timberwolves5c1,783$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.073633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x731c…637dbacked Timberwolves52c1,221$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs72c1,073$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8620057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs60c994.15$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1552461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Timberwolves64c826.34$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.862653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs51c777.17$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.3452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Timberwolves52c673.08$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Spurs73c670$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1784269%29 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Timberwolves48c665.56$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4718650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Timberwolves48c610.96$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.264443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb56…2492backed Timberwolves48c605.38$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs53c590.76$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6630551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Timberwolves37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Timberwolves48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Timberwolves22c501.52$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5222039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Spurs68c456.53$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.476258.1%36 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Timberwolves57c441.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.43844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Timberwolves25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves25c392.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.321,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Spurs30c383.26$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2832450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs53c380.2$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs31c350$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves48c334.57$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.592,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Timberwolves31c326.95$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs54c302.26$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Timberwolves51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15318536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Timberwolves33c293$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves38c279.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Spurs76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1612548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs52c254.24$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.32,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Timberwolves12c211.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.392040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs61c205.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves48c203.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.521,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs51c192$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Timberwolves33c153.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs28c153.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.221,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5322…a5dcbacked Timberwolves48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…67e4backed Spurs30c103.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.335550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Spurs71c102.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7431953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timberwolves25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Timberwolves36c93.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.289061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Spurs54c93.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1930544.6%136 W · 169 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Timberwolves37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cd…da0dbacked Timberwolves30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Timberwolves48c79.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1310941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ab…e652backed Spurs53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.474235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Timberwolves33c74.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Spurs30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.675750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Spurs30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.673551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves70c66.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…8765backed Timberwolves52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed Spurs72c54.17$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.175556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Spurs53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.179135.2%32 W · 59 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Timberwolves47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Timberwolves48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Timberwolves48c39.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1920144.8%90 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Timberwolves69c39.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1229243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs78c37.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Spurs58c36.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.157949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Timberwolves56c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7514740.8%60 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Timberwolves64c34.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.393246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Timberwolves47c32.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Timberwolves48c31.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.016150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Timberwolves48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ed…041bbacked Timberwolves35c29.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Spurs53c26.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.571250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990a…11adbacked Spurs53c25.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Timberwolves44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Timberwolves47c24.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7419445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Spurs71c22.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5119360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spurs78c19.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Spurs78c19.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.338751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.