NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e70d5264109697247985c1f239291339cbb36a574c08c473311cab794f7e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 46c | 48,868$22,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,531.75 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 53c | 27,845$14,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,087.13 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Timberwolves | 49c | 23,983$11,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,751.48 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 54c | 21,296$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,796.3 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 47c | 20,640$9,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.57 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 18,756$8,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,627.87 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 18,641$8,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,761.37 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 53c | 18,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 51c | 16,778$8,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,263.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 16,736$8,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,367.99 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 11,509$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 47c | 11,000$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.94 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 9,729$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.83 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Spurs | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 51c | 8,233$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.95 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Timberwolves | 39c | 6,322$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.51 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 40c | 6,225$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.29 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Spurs | 54c | 5,128$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.91 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,544$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.39 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,344$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.24 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,295$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,220$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,890$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Spurs | 53c | 3,820$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.39 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,141$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.27 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Spurs | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 64c | 2,740$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.05 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spurs | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Spurs | 51c | 2,225$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.07 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Spurs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Spurs | 62c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.94 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,787$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.75 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Timberwolves | 17c | 1,735$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.31 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Spurs | 53c | 1,557$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.79 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Timberwolves | 7c | 1,525$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Spurs | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 49c | 1,379$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.29 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Spurs | 53c | 1,320$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.39 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Timberwolves | 9c | 1,312$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 71c | 1,307$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.53 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Spurs | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Spurs | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs | 53c | 1,109$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.4 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,103$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.41 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Spurs | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Spurs | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Spurs | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 970.52$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 958.46$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.89 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Spurs | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…5e27backed Spurs | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 52c | 903.84$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Timberwolves | 47c | 876.06$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.75 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 56c | 873.73$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.1 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 837.6$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Timberwolves | 48c | 741.63$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 739.26$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.75 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Timberwolves | 41c | 734.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Spurs | 53c | 656.6$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.6 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Spurs | 65c | 644.28$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Spurs | 65c | 644.27$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.49 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Spurs | 53c | 631.34$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Spurs | 52c | 626$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Spurs | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 560$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Spurs | 51c | 495.23$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 13c | 463.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Timberwolves | 51c | 455.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Spurs | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs | 66c | 445.96$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Timberwolves | 47c | 421.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Spurs | 51c | 418$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.82 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Spurs | 63c | 412.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timberwolves | 48c | 400.02$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…67c2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 388.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9725backed Spurs | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 50c | 333.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Spurs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Spurs | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Spurs | 51c | 325$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Spurs | 54c | 322.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Timberwolves | 24c | 319.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.