TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Timberwolves, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,601
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,601 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves5c1,250$60 inLost-$608,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Timberwolves24c1,082$259 inLost-$259.483729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Timberwolves9c1,072$95 inLost-$95.4753842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves29c378.3$110 inLost-$109.7164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Spurs71c307.84$219 inWon+$89.2716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs73c177.8$130 inWon+$47.817848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Timberwolves30c116.67$35 inLost-$354148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs70c116.67$82 inWon+$3566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Timberwolves28c105.25$29 inLost-$29.4740548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs74c101.35$75 inWon+$26.3536453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs71c82.49$59 inWon+$23.921,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…3c33backed Timberwolves29c68.97$20 inLost-$206756.7%38 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcffc…0f81backed Timberwolves29c51.72$15 inLost-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Spurs71c28.96$21 inWon+$8.47153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27dd…e918backed Spurs71c28.03$20 inWon+$8.034656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…fab7backed Spurs72c26.39$19 inWon+$7.391457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Spurs71c25$18 inWon+$7.257353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x086c…4932backed Spurs72c20.16$15 inWon+$5.645056%28 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de9…3d1fbacked Spurs77c20$15 inWon+$4.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs71c18.97$13 inWon+$5.51,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.