TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c150,010$73,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,504.921,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under51c25,108$12,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,805.2614946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over49c15,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c14,627$7,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,46021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c9,526$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.4214842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c9,438$4,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,818.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under51c9,116$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,652.6124847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0a…0ba2backed Under51c8,912$4,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,54510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4078…500ebacked Under51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c7,131$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.3238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46a2…2788backed Under50c6,994$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under51c6,632$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,382.2413750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under51c6,379$3,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,253.395345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under52c6,069$3,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1535940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c5,074$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.8318749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf160…c3e7backed Under51c4,711$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Under51c4,672$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.721030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c4,565$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.5555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed Under51c4,463$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under51c4,040$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Under51c3,989$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.391060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Over50c3,147$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.533256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2056…2189backed Under51c2,746$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.2630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under51c2,541$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under51c2,526$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.113056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under52c2,330$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under38c2,323$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.3649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c2,196$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c2,168$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under52c2,119$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf681…9b77backed Under51c1,783$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a4b…c943backed Under52c1,770$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under51c1,765$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed Under51c1,495$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,485$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.671,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over62c1,456$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.0352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aec…4cfdbacked Under51c1,440$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c1,227$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.4563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under51c1,163$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x372b…1ad8backed Over49c1,161$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under25c1,016$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.441,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under51c998.04$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50923539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c930.37$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.791,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Under37c855.22$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.352231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c813.68$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under51c784.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.3511556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31ed…d916backed Under51c767$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under48c688.24$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33148957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c682.35$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.3590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c678.58$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under52c613.85$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.327549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under51c601.96$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3071241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccc…6479backed Over50c570$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c564.98$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under53c507.55$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2697643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under36c477$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.842,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c439.92$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under51c408.16$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.165339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…686cbacked Over49c393.88$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb60f…1ab0backed Under51c390$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under51c330$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.37451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca30…7060backed Over49c318.37$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under9c308.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1214443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.123557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15049852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c277.4$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.471,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a9…de27backed Over75c263.25$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under51c218.26$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3117247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Under51c205.88$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c199.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635c…5a00backed Under51c196.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.477742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efcebacked Under51c182.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+61.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c161.76$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.882,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Under52c160.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2712248.4%59 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Under52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f4…03b0backed Over49c122.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.293554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under50c122.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.021060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c121.97$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.951,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Over49c115.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.113351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.93857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0447738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over50c95.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8124147.7%115 W · 126 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked Under51c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.37520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over50c74.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over50c71.72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8638751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.